Calm-Declination
0xe70d81faecc7a9e514e61cca74ef99e2af71cb59
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$236.78
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Grünen win the most seats in the next German election?
240396 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-341.12
- YES
Will SPD win the most seats in the next German election?
110458 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-220.92
- YES
Megaquake in February?
15000 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-779.97
- YES
Martial law in South Korea before Monday?
5861 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2025$0.00
$-17.58
- YES
Will Elon Musk be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?
3908 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.91
- YES
Will ChatGPT have the top AI model on December 31?
331 shares @ 16.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-53.58
Recent activity
- REDEEMMegaquake in January?$0.00Feb 17, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEMMegaquake in January?$0.00Feb 17, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grünen win the most seats in the next German election?$139.66Feb 16, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaquake in February?$25.70Feb 16, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaquake in February?$314.44Feb 16, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaquake in February?$0.40Feb 15, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaquake in February?$1.67Feb 15, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaquake in February?$0.13Feb 15, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaquake in February?$17.67Feb 15, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaquake in February?$285.82Feb 13, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaquake in February?$20.21Feb 13, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaquake in February?$0.08Feb 11, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaquake in February?$0.12Feb 11, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaquake in February?$8.07Feb 11, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaquake in February?$0.11Feb 10, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaquake in February?$0.08Feb 10, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaquake in February?$104.77Feb 9, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaquake in February?$0.76Feb 9, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SPD win the most seats in the next German election?$220.92Feb 9, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SPD win the most seats in the next German election?$370.76Feb 2, 16:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $51.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 11:29 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 17, 06:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".