Mad-Vellum
0xe70db2449a80ff9b9a12ac18763c34e772781749
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$300.00
Total PnL
$-77.49
Realised
$-3.29
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will the ECB announce an increase at the March 2026 meeting?
300 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$300.00
$1.50
- YES
Will Elon tweet 265–279 times June 20–27?
570 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2025$0.00
$-5.70
- NO
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?
555 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-22.14
- YES
Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?
540 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-23.76
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
505 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.45
- YES
Will XRP dip to $2.00 in September?
500 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-3.60
- YES
Will Joe Highsmith win the 2025 PGA TOUR 3M Open?
380 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2025$0.00
$-3.80
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $200 on November 5?
360 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Ethereum above $4,000 on August 4?
312 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.48
- YES
Will the PPC win 5 or more seats in the next Canadian Election?
290 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.45
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?$129.74Mar 28, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?$129.87Mar 28, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill BNB reach $900 in March?$0.12Mar 27, 16:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$0.69Mar 26, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BNB reach $900 in March?$1.08Mar 25, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$2.30Mar 23, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce an increase at the March 2026 meeting?$298.50Mar 12, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be less than $80 on December 25?$2.08Dec 19, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?$22.14Nov 24, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$2.45Nov 14, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $200 on November 5?$1.80Nov 4, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Catarina Martins win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$109.78Nov 3, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Catarina Martins win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$109.78Nov 2, 10:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$310.30Oct 29, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another candidate win Bolivian Election?$1.10Oct 13, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$309.69Oct 4, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $2.00 in September?$3.60Sep 25, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $4,000 on August 4?$2.48Aug 3, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Highsmith win the 2025 PGA TOUR 3M Open?$3.80Jul 23, 19:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dan Trifu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$129.22Jul 22, 06:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $112.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 12:15 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 28, 16:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".