Harsh-Purr
0xe71165ee2c20e15957541bb20a707459f285d21e
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
53
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-324.21
Realised
$2.68
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
616 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-19.52
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
401 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-9.35
- ARGENTINA
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
368 shares @ 40.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
293 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
113 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score
93 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
44 shares @ 11.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
36 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.74
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
30 shares @ 13.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (December 8 - 14)
10 shares @ 40.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLLionel Messi: 1+ goals$21.31Jul 19, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ goals$14.55Jul 19, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$51.15Jul 19, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$154.44Jul 19, 11:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- REDEEMNorway vs. England: Both Teams to Score$4.50Jul 12, 00:01 UTC
- REDEEMNorway vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?$17.86Jul 12, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Both Teams to Score$2.73Jul 9, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?$5.11Jul 9, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$1.07Jul 9, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$1.05Jul 9, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$3.10Jul 9, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$1.07Jul 9, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$1.06Jul 9, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$1.05Jul 9, 12:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Nuclear" 2+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?$0.00Jul 9, 12:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$0.00Jul 9, 12:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$0.00Jul 9, 12:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
15 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $17.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 12:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 21:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.