Shy-Weird
0xe7123a5454f9be0a197d5909d2720a4d473c9a10
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$939.27
Total PnL
$-3.2K
Realised
$-13.93
Win rate
40%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 23?
282 shares @ 76.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$281.46
$64.80
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 23?
158 shares @ 80.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$158.41
$30.47
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 23?
131 shares @ 84.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$130.49
$19.70
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 23?
100 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$99.95
$16.95
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 23?
100 shares @ 89.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$99.94
$10.85
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 23?
96 shares @ 73.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$95.55
$25.07
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on June 23?
70 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$69.97
$9.06
- YES
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.50
$-7.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on June 23?
78 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.43
$-3.83
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 23?
141 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.35
$-2.65
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or below on June 23?$2.66Jun 23, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 23?$6.80Jun 23, 15:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or below on June 23?$17.70Jun 23, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or below on June 23?$3.34Jun 23, 14:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or below on June 23?$5.89Jun 23, 14:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or below on June 23?$20.62Jun 23, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or below on June 23?$1.03Jun 23, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or below on June 23?$3.12Jun 23, 14:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 23?$4.54Jun 23, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 23?$6.27Jun 23, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 23?$1.27Jun 23, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 24?$9.24Jun 23, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 24?$36.95Jun 23, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 23?$11.09Jun 23, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 23?$5.78Jun 23, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 23?$2.87Jun 23, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 23?$2.76Jun 23, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 23?$5.62Jun 23, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 23?$0.38Jun 23, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 23?$13.52Jun 23, 13:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
40% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $9.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 10:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 15:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.