Jealous-Fertilizer
0xe7190ec49eaf23c7de4113dc0f4ecca414cb8a4e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-103.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?
120 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-9.84
- YES
Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?
118 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
100 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Trump's inaugural address be 16-18 minutes?
43 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Trump ban on birth right citizenship in first 100 days?
40 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-13.20
- YES
Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?
20 shares @ 24.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$19.24Aug 18, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMTrump signs national abortion ban?$20.00Jun 22, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$15.00Jan 20, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump signs national abortion ban?$16.00Jan 20, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the most seats in the next German election?$9.84Jan 15, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$12.60Jan 15, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?$5.00Jan 15, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump ban on birth right citizenship in first 100 days?$13.20Jan 15, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's inaugural address be 16-18 minutes?$10.00Jan 15, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?$13.26Jan 15, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?$6.74Jan 15, 16:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?$0.00Jan 15, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEM2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D House$0.00Jan 15, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEMTrump claims victory before AP calls the election?$0.00Jan 15, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEM2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64$0.00Jan 15, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?$0.00Jan 15, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Ric Grenell for Secretary of State?$0.00Jan 15, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate RFK Jr. for HHS Secretary?$0.00Jan 15, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill New Hampshire be the closest state?$0.00Jan 15, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Mike Waltz for Defense Secretary?$0.00Jan 15, 16:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $19.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 11:24 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 10:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.