Alarming-Amnesty
0xe71a4faac39a0622225862491d53816ba311d65c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-106.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?
2156 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-16.17
- YES
Will no one dissent the January Fed decision?
563 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-27.15
- YES
Megaquake by March 31?
300 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?
100 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.20
- NO
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during September press conference?
36 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
FDA approves Telix Pharmaceuticals’ TLX250-CDx for kidney cancer imaging?
25 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 27, 2025$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Bitcoin above $116K on August 25?
20 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 25, 2025$0.00
$-3.60
- NO
Will anyone say "Cosmos" during the Q2 2025 Nvidia earnings call?
15 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 27, 2025$0.00
$-5.25
- NO
FDA approves Sanofi’s Rilzabrutinib for immune thrombocytopenia?
12 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 29, 2025$0.00
$-0.60
- YES
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?
10 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.60
Recent activity
- TRADESELLNipah virus in US by March 31?$59.94Apr 1, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $118K on August 25?$0.00Mar 27, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYNipah virus in US by March 31?$28.77Mar 4, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYNipah virus in US by March 31?$28.77Mar 4, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaquake by March 31?$21.00Mar 3, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no one dissent the January Fed decision?$1.20Jan 27, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no one dissent the January Fed decision?$11.47Jan 26, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no one dissent the January Fed decision?$7.41Jan 26, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no one dissent the January Fed decision?$1.01Jan 26, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no one dissent the January Fed decision?$1.50Jan 26, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no one dissent the January Fed decision?$0.20Jan 26, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no one dissent the January Fed decision?$0.30Jan 26, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no one dissent the January Fed decision?$1.50Jan 26, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no one dissent the January Fed decision?$0.26Jan 26, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no one dissent the January Fed decision?$0.30Jan 26, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no one dissent the January Fed decision?$0.50Jan 26, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no one dissent the January Fed decision?$1.50Jan 26, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.92Dec 30, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?$0.10Dec 30, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?$0.16Dec 30, 10:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $13.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 10, 22:39 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 1, 06:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".