Dearest-Discipline
0xe71c0f8cfbcb3aa3b364d7c872d7a2b96a1179ae
Wallet digest
Activity score
32/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-50.8K
Realised
$-5.9K
Win rate
4%
180 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
4996 shares @ 26.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
4000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
2968 shares @ 89.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.6K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
1667 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-96.15
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
1623 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
1550 shares @ 70.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
1212 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
1017 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
1000 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-22.22
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$15.85Aug 18, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$15.70Aug 18, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$15.83Aug 18, 10:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$0.00Aug 18, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$15.82Aug 18, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$15.84Aug 18, 07:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$61.11Aug 18, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$15.79Aug 18, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026?$67.00Aug 18, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$15.80Aug 18, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$15.64Aug 17, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$15.86Aug 17, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$15.79Aug 17, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$15.83Aug 17, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$15.70Aug 17, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$15.83Aug 17, 20:57 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.40Aug 17, 10:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$83.33Aug 17, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$15.86Aug 17, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$15.65Aug 17, 09:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
4% win rate over 180 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 30/100.
180 closed markets, 4% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $17.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 16, 07:38 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 11:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 180 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.