Superb-Nobody
0xe71f67094ac2feaf06b9dedea7657eeacb49102f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.3K
Realised
$138.31
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
15688 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.9K
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
7001 shares @ 14.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?
2587 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-242.94
- YES
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?
2540 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-121.59
- YES
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by December 31?
1011 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-65.14
- YES
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?
578 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-34.66
- YES
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 US Open?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 7, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday over 10%?
426 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-17.03
- YES
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
388 shares @ 14.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-56.56
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US?
386 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?$38.24Jan 28, 19:05 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$38.50Jan 28, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?$18.32Jan 28, 19:03 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$18.32Jan 28, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$442.23Jan 22, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$73.73Jan 21, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$280.00Jan 21, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$338.70Jan 6, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$96.69Jan 6, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$63.33Jan 6, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$4.88Dec 4, 03:50 UTC
- REWARD$4.88Dec 4, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$103.08Dec 3, 09:02 UTC
- TRADESELLOdds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday over 7%?$70.44Dec 3, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYOdds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday over 7%?$15.04Dec 3, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYOdds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday over 7%?$7.00Dec 3, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYOdds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday over 7%?$37.63Dec 3, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYOdds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday over 7%?$0.38Dec 3, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYOdds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday over 7%?$18.90Dec 3, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYOdds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday over 7%?$2.38Dec 3, 01:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $64.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 27, 14:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 28, 19:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.