0xe71fe9e207deb25597dbff96164532a235c37b54
0xe71fe9e207deb25597dbff96164532a235c37b54
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-110.89
Realised
$-5.89
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 11?
14000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-42.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 7?
2000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 6?
532 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 5?
501 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 7?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$4.20Apr 29, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.05Apr 29, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$4.20Apr 29, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.05Apr 29, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.05Apr 29, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.05Apr 29, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.05Apr 29, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$1.05Apr 29, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.05Apr 29, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.05Apr 29, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.05Apr 29, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 6?$3.00Mar 6, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 6?$1.00Mar 6, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 6?$1.00Mar 6, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 6?$1.00Mar 6, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 5?$20.00Mar 5, 05:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 14?$1.35Feb 14, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 14?$5.00Feb 14, 12:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 11?$3.73Feb 11, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 11?$4.00Feb 11, 01:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $5.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 7, 13:04 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 15:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.