Dual-Lead
0xe722ac0d09693a331b662c3c5e55d6f5ef1339cb
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$73.76
Total PnL
$-33.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 13, 2026?
52 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$51.72
$21.72
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 10?
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$20.00
$10.00
- NO
AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 41 million views on day 3?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 37 million views on day 3?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?
118 shares @ 42.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?
24 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on February 13, 2026?$30.00Feb 12, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?$50.00Feb 10, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$1.00Feb 10, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$1.00Feb 10, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$1.00Feb 10, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$1.00Feb 10, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$1.00Feb 10, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$1.00Feb 10, 13:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$1.05Feb 10, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$1.00Feb 10, 13:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$10.63Feb 10, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 10?$10.00Feb 10, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$5.00Feb 10, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$10.00Feb 10, 13:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$9.88Feb 10, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$10.00Feb 10, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?$1.00Feb 10, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 41 million views on day 3?$1.00Feb 10, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 37 million views on day 3?$1.00Feb 10, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$1.00Feb 10, 13:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
22 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $6.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 10, 13:09 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 12, 12:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.