Gullible-Jet
0xe72ea4ecf282f4ba287e2e65308c265c6fb0b33d
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$35.12
Total PnL
$-831.84
Realised
$-71.99
Win rate
50%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
300 shares @ 14.4¢·now 10.1¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$30.15
$-13.10
- YES
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
50 shares @ 17.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$4.97
$-3.52
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4000 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-100.97
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $80 on the final trading day of June 2026?
500 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-190.10
- NORWAY
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
279 shares @ 37.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-104.11
- YES
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
200 shares @ 23.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-47.50
- YES
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?
158 shares @ 40.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-63.20
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026?
150 shares @ 13.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.50
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?
100 shares @ 27.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-27.10
- CABO VERDE
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance
79 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-14?$4.82Jul 14, 13:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bodø/Glimt win Norway Eliteserien?$2.49Jul 14, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bodø/Glimt win Norway Eliteserien?$2.25Jul 13, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-07-12?$5.16Jul 12, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: SK Brann (-1.5)$10.26Jul 12, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bodø/Glimt win Norway Eliteserien?$19.95Jul 12, 01:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Team to Advance$34.32Jul 11, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$25.50Jul 11, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) AND Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?$7.00Jul 11, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Team to Advance$35.50Jul 11, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Team to Advance$35.25Jul 11, 13:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 9, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-07-09?$1.03Jul 8, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-07-09?$3.08Jul 8, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Morocco: Team to Advance$4.09Jul 8, 21:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 8, 00:26 UTC
- REDEEMSwitzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance$10.64Jul 7, 23:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $10.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 17:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 13:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.