Powerless-Architecture
0xe73e98a187159e3cdfb332c1dcf5a692f5130a39
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$952.03
Total PnL
$-320.77
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
952 shares @ 50.0¢·now 80.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$763.05
$287.04
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
952 shares @ 50.0¢·now 19.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$188.98
$-287.04
- YES
Will Trump say "Biden" 10+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
301 shares @ 39.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-120.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Palestine" or "Palestinian" during Board of Peace events on February 19?
150 shares @ 65.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-98.01
- NO
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
103 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will "Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)
100 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?
100 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
64 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- OVER
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5
27 shares @ 41.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.08Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?$3.15Jul 18, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain to score first vs. Argentina?$5.11Jul 18, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5$10.00Jul 18, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5$11.32Jul 18, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$11.26Jul 18, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Team to Win$10.26Jul 18, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-18?$5.18Jul 18, 22:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
10 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $7.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.