Elliptical-Set
0xe74261069613f24c9f466b7e0b33af0c6e214630
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
71
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$-142.00
Win rate
65%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 71- YES
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?
500 shares @ 25.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-125.94
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 6?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
390 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-30.34
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
305 shares @ 19.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-58.10
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?
300 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?
296 shares @ 23.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-69.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on December 11?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?
213 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?
192 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-2.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Italy vs. Northern Ireland end in a draw?$2.21Mar 26, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Northern Ireland win on 2026-03-26?$1.00Mar 26, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy vs. Northern Ireland end in a draw?$6.62Mar 26, 20:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6AM ET$0.00Feb 19, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6AM ET$0.10Feb 19, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6AM ET$0.05Feb 19, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?$48.32Feb 4, 20:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?$48.32Feb 4, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?$29.99Feb 4, 17:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 1PM ET$9.13Jan 30, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 1PM ET$10.00Jan 30, 18:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 10AM ET$50.29Jan 17, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 10AM ET$10.00Jan 17, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 10AM ET$10.00Jan 17, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$6.71Dec 30, 15:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$6.71Dec 30, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$133.62Dec 30, 15:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?$126.05Dec 30, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$29.74Dec 30, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$1.00Dec 30, 15:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $43.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 19, 14:10 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 26, 20:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.