Vigorous-Impudence
0xe746893629422b55144626544da42ef38e00aae5
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$22.52
Total PnL
$-401.86
Realised
$-29.06
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
23 shares @ 95.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$22.52
$0.95
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 22?
400 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-260.00
- YES
Will "Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)
125 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-113.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?$21.57Feb 1, 20:16 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$21.57Feb 1, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$21.25Dec 24, 19:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Man Vs Baby" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)$155.00Dec 24, 19:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Wake Up Dead Man" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (December 23, 2025)$138.74Dec 23, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Man Vs Baby" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)$12.80Dec 23, 01:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Wake Up Dead Man" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (December 23, 2025)$10.37Dec 22, 21:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)$14.19Dec 22, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Man Vs Baby" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)$4.50Dec 22, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Man Vs Baby" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)$14.08Dec 22, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Man Vs Baby" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)$21.18Dec 22, 21:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)$25.00Dec 22, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)$182.00Dec 22, 18:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?$115.70Dec 22, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?$7.90Dec 22, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?$48.09Dec 22, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?$15.80Dec 22, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?$10.00Dec 22, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Wake Up Dead Man" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (December 23, 2025)$139.39Dec 21, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 22?$260.00Dec 21, 18:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $141.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 10, 03:34 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 1, 20:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.