Courteous-Interval
0xe74ac41b640e796036735888137ac4f0b5370eaa
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$14.97
Total PnL
$-750.06
Realised
$-1.17
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Kurds declare independence from Iran?
15 shares @ 72.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.97
$3.97
- YES
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-01?
11000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 27?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-03-01?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 27?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get fewer than 50M views in its first 7 days?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 15?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
462 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?$14.00Apr 24, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-04-26?$25.00Apr 24, 15:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.13Apr 24, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$19.64Apr 24, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$15.00Apr 21, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$5.00Apr 19, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$2.00Apr 19, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trabzonspor win on 2026-04-19?$1.00Apr 19, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$1.00Apr 19, 17:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lille OSC vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?$2.97Apr 19, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lille OSC vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?$1.00Apr 18, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-18?$3.00Apr 18, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?$2.00Apr 18, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3PM ET$3.00Apr 18, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$1.00Apr 18, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$1.00Apr 18, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-04-17?$1.00Apr 16, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.00Apr 15, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?$11.00Apr 15, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$2.00Apr 14, 18:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $4.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 18:50 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 15:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".