Astonishing-Rule
0xe74c157c27ebe7190c27064fbf9bf5f93699f5c3
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$4.63
Total PnL
$-21.1K
Realised
$0.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
30 shares @ 8.7¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.50
$-0.10
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
24 shares @ 10.1¢·now 8.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.12
$-0.30
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
14658 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-7.3K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
1841 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-920.50
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 15, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
1841 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-920.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
1841 shares @ 50.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-923.08
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 15, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
1840 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-920.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
1840 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-920.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 15, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
1840 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-920.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
1840 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-920.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.42Mar 28, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.61Mar 28, 01:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon reach $320 in February?$5.04Mar 28, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon reach $320 in February?$5.00Feb 5, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 6-12?$1.02Feb 5, 09:21 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by January 31?$1.04Feb 5, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by January 31?$1.00Jan 9, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 6-12?$1.00Jan 9, 08:20 UTC
- REDEEMUS national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?$1.00Jan 4, 07:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.09Jan 4, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?$1.00Dec 24, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$6.4KDec 16, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$932.50Dec 16, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$0.00Dec 16, 06:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$0.00Dec 16, 06:46 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 15, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$0.00Dec 16, 06:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$7.3KDec 16, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$29.56Dec 16, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$1.8KDec 16, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$1.4KDec 16, 06:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $720.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 16, 03:44 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 28, 01:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".