Linear-Antique
0xe74ed14ff6bb9da108b36288ac0ece54bf27f676
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
120
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-468.93
Realised
$82.84
Win rate
100%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 120- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 12?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C or higher on February 2?
2299 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?
2244 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-41.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?
2179 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C or below on February 25?
2033 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C or below on February 26?
1305 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-13.92
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?
1092 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-39.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be less than $80 on February 2?
776 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
523 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
- YES
Will Artemis II launch by February 7?
499 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.07Apr 6, 23:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Apr 6, 23:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$1.86Apr 6, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$1.00Apr 6, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$1.00Apr 6, 18:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$1.33Apr 4, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$1.00Apr 4, 17:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$2.33Apr 3, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$13.00Apr 2, 01:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "God" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?$4.21Apr 2, 01:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Address to the Nation?$2.20Apr 2, 01:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Obama" during Address to the Nation?$6.76Apr 2, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "April Fool" or "April Fool's" during Address to the Nation?$7.00Apr 2, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Address to the Nation?$6.00Apr 2, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Address to the Nation?$10.00Apr 2, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Address to the Nation?$2.00Apr 2, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kharg" or "Island" during Address to the Nation?$2.00Apr 2, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's remarks not air?$1.00Apr 2, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during Address to the Nation?$1.00Apr 2, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Address to the Nation?$10.00Apr 2, 00:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $2.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 00:30 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 6, 23:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.