0xe7505c94c7d5980919ad83b8e614142891094850
0xe7505c94c7d5980919ad83b8e614142891094850
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$203.40
Total PnL
$-608.09
Realised
$26.34
Win rate
1%
176 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
23 shares @ 93.0¢·now 98.2¢·exp Sep 15, 2026$22.97
$1.22
- NO
Will Team Falcons Win The International 2026?
25 shares @ 92.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$22.77
$-0.64
- NO
Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?
22 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$20.13
$-0.11
- NO
Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
18 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$17.41
$0.09
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
20 shares @ 88.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$17.22
$-0.10
- YES
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
21 shares @ 81.9¢·now 69.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.74
$-2.54
- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
16 shares @ 88.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.59
$0.71
- NO
Iran leadership change by December 31?
15 shares @ 81.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.04
$0.54
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
21 shares @ 56.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$12.73
$1.14
- YES
Will TEAM VISION Win The International 2026?
25 shares @ 24.6¢·now 43.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$10.96
$4.69
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Aug 20, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat?$3.47Aug 19, 05:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?$23.30Aug 19, 03:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?$15.14Aug 19, 03:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?$28.37Aug 19, 01:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 19, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?$0.01Aug 18, 21:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 18, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-08-17?$16.69Aug 17, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Idaho governor race in 2026?$1.66Aug 17, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-08-17?$10.05Aug 17, 18:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 16, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stage$0.00Aug 15, 12:15 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stage$17.89Aug 15, 12:15 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stage$15.87Aug 15, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?$14.97Aug 15, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stage$13.28Aug 15, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stage$6.17Aug 15, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stage$11.12Aug 15, 05:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
61/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
1% win rate over 176 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 32/100.
176 closed markets, 1% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $12.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 8, 08:53 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 20, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 176 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.