Drafty-Cloak
0xe75917338b0d6c068073fbe016e490a1bd4c74f3
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
55
Open notional
$108.46
Total PnL
$-127.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 55- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on July 22?
109 shares @ 97.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$108.46
$2.88
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.90 and $2.00 on December 3?
275 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.75
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 January 12-18?
238 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.89
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 23?
234 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.21
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 17?
221 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.22
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 30?
212 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.75
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on January 26?
208 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.54
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on April 6?
168 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.51
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 3AM ET
134 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.62
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on May 27?
133 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on July 22?$105.59Jul 21, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on July 7?$2.86Jul 7, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on June 25?$1.39Jun 24, 19:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 3?$103.67Jun 3, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 3?$100.66Jun 3, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 31?$1.12May 31, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 30?$2.94May 29, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on May 27?$1.28May 26, 20:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 24?$87.35May 24, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 24?$0.42May 23, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 24?$85.79May 23, 20:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 17?$82.74May 17, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 17?$81.25May 16, 22:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 8?$86.57May 8, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 8?$84.23May 7, 22:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,450 Week of April 13 2026?$106.75May 1, 21:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on December 10?$0.00Apr 25, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.40 on April 18?$2.29Apr 19, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of April 13 2026?$1.49Apr 17, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,450 Week of April 13 2026?$104.29Apr 17, 00:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $39.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 26, 21:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 19:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.