Jovial-Prison
0xe75f32472a80971bcda41daf4e6973713b488c89
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$55.69
Total PnL
$-0.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above $480 end of June?$0.78Jul 8, 06:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $0.20 in June?$55.00Jul 8, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above $270 end of July?$55.89Jul 8, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above $480 end of June?$0.78Jun 28, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $0.20 in June?$54.90Jun 7, 13:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by May 31, 2026?$27.33Jun 7, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?$47.00Jun 7, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?$46.46May 27, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?$130.00May 15, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by May 31, 2026?$26.02May 15, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?$129.88May 7, 01:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$77.00May 1, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$76.92Apr 19, 02:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?$35.60Apr 3, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?$35.56Apr 1, 02:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?$0.00Mar 30, 02:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?$0.00Mar 30, 02:55 UTC
- REDEEMOver $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?$36.30Mar 30, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?$35.07Mar 16, 07:31 UTC
- REDEEMAnother critical Cloudflare incident by February 28, 2026?$119.00Mar 6, 08:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $42.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 16:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 8, 06:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.