Both-Lode
0xe75fccd4e5d2a6d402369649e92ec50c41bd2687
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-15.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
200870 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-7.8K
- YES
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-11-25?
4000 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-24?
4000 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-2.1K
- YES
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-23?
3122 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-390.00
- YES
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-29?
2696 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-231.64
- YES
Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?
2156 shares @ 25.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-546.89
- YES
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
2000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?
1920 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
1464 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-100.76
- YES
Meteora FDV above $750M one day after launch?
1044 shares @ 38.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-400.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill AS Roma win on 2025-11-30?$201.21Nov 30, 19:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$201.22Nov 30, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham win on 2025-11-29?$231.64Nov 29, 20:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$231.63Nov 29, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alireza Firouzja win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?$286.89Nov 25, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AFC Ajax win on 2025-11-25?$1.1KNov 25, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYMonad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$20.00Nov 25, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYMonad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$50.00Nov 25, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYMonad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$50.00Nov 25, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alireza Firouzja win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?$260.00Nov 25, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYMonad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$100.00Nov 24, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United win on 2025-11-24?$2.1KNov 24, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill AC Milan win on 2025-11-23?$4.0KNov 24, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham win on 2025-11-23?$200.00Nov 23, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AC Milan win on 2025-11-23?$600.00Nov 23, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham win on 2025-11-23?$100.00Nov 23, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AC Milan win on 2025-11-23?$400.00Nov 23, 15:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$502.18Nov 23, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham win on 2025-11-23?$90.00Nov 23, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$200.00Nov 22, 21:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $295.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 4, 17:30 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 30, 19:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.