Defenseless-Tensor
0xe765068c567ec6eb93c078b04e71319b43b79cd7
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$8.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
1224 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$1.2K
$8.56
- YES
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$1.30
$0.30
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
1 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$1.03
$0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$7.15Mar 12, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$200.61Mar 12, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$99.30Mar 12, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$709.29Mar 12, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$99.30Mar 12, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$99.30Mar 12, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Mar 12, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$1.00Mar 12, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$1.2KMar 12, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$1.2KFeb 28, 08:47 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$1.2KFeb 28, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$1.2KJan 22, 10:18 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.2KJan 22, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.2KDec 23, 10:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stable launch a token in 2025?$1.2KDec 23, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stable launch a token in 2025?$1.2KDec 7, 15:50 UTC
- REDEEMGemini 3.0 Flash released by November 30?$1.2KDec 7, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.0 Flash released by November 30?$1.2KNov 29, 16:26 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.2KNov 29, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.1KOct 23, 01:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $599.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 30, 14:12 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 12, 07:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.