Bland-Carnival
0xe77296a9a8a82517d44cb48363e647536762eb1d
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-13.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon tweet 425–449 times August 15–August 22?
27 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 68°F or below on July 31?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 400–424 times August 15–August 22?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 68°F or below on August 2?
13 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 91-92°F on July 30?
11 shares @ 18.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 91-92°F on July 28?
10 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 95-96°F on July 30?
4 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 93-94°F on July 30?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on July 30?
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 74-75°F on July 30?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on August 18?$0.00Aug 19, 06:24 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down on August 18?$0.00Aug 19, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 400–424 times August 15–August 22?$1.00Aug 17, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 425–449 times August 15–August 22?$1.00Aug 17, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on August 18?$1.00Aug 17, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on August 18?$1.00Aug 17, 21:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on August 15?$4.00Aug 15, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on August 15?$1.00Aug 15, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on August 14?$0.00Aug 15, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on August 14?$0.00Aug 15, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 425–439 times August 8–August 15?$0.00Aug 15, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on August 14?$3.03Aug 15, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 365–379 times August 8–August 15?$0.00Aug 14, 13:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 410–424 times August 8–August 15?$0.00Aug 14, 13:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 395–409 times August 8–August 15?$0.00Aug 14, 13:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 380–394 times August 8–August 15?$0.00Aug 14, 13:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 350–364 times August 8–August 15?$0.00Aug 14, 13:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 335–349 times August 8–August 15?$0.00Aug 14, 13:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 320–334 times August 8–August 15?$0.00Aug 14, 13:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 305–319 times August 8–August 15?$0.00Aug 14, 13:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
18 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 3, 22:28 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 06:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.