Wild-Photograph
0xe777a964a8ed560c1864b114439df897f9a59f29
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
38
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$-53.73
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- YES
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
42657 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-214.39
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by February 28, 2026?
2100 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-504.98
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
1429 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 28?
1000 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-240.00
- YES
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?
836 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-209.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
300 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
300 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
300 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
- DOWN
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on February 17?
244 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
206 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-13.37
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?$5.87Mar 10, 09:55 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?$0.03Mar 10, 09:37 UTC
- TRADESELLMetamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?$27.61Mar 10, 09:17 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?$25.51Mar 10, 09:15 UTC
- TRADESELLMetamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?$9.00Mar 10, 05:12 UTC
- TRADESELLMetamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?$9.00Mar 10, 05:12 UTC
- TRADESELLMetamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?$9.00Mar 10, 05:12 UTC
- TRADESELLMetamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?$1.30Mar 10, 05:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?$91.11Mar 9, 21:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?$67.53Mar 9, 07:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?$15.00Mar 9, 07:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?$15.00Mar 9, 07:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?$75.00Mar 9, 07:28 UTC
- TRADESELLMetamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?$1.27Mar 9, 06:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?$8.52Mar 9, 05:03 UTC
- TRADESELLMetamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?$0.10Mar 9, 01:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?$15.00Mar 8, 15:13 UTC
- TRADESELLMetamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?$1.02Mar 8, 14:27 UTC
- TRADESELLMetamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?$5.20Mar 8, 14:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?$13.00Mar 8, 14:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $13.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 15:01 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 10, 09:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.