Famous-Email
0xe77dd50c787106e679742ad3fe720b6d08055fab
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$162.63
Total PnL
$-56.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
100 shares @ 81.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$95.00
$14.00
- NO
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by February 28?
30 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$30.00
$4.20
- YES
Will MrBeast hit 465 Million subscribers by January 31?
22 shares @ 92.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$21.57
$1.57
- YES
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
61 shares @ 61.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$16.05
$-20.90
- YES
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
97 shares @ 20.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?
35 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-22.04
- YES
German government files appeal to ban AfD in 2025?
20 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US recession in 2025?
10 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Negative GDP growth in Q2 2025?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUkraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by February 28?$13.51Jan 30, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 465 Million subscribers by January 31?$20.00Jan 30, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by February 28?$12.29Jan 30, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$81.00Jan 30, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$36.95Jan 30, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GTA 6 cost $100+?$56.84Jan 30, 19:39 UTC
- REDEEMIran Nuke in 2025?$0.00Jan 30, 19:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$0.00Jan 30, 19:07 UTC
- REDEEMAfD banned in 2025?$0.00Jan 30, 19:07 UTC
- REDEEMIran Nuke in 2025?$2.22Jan 30, 19:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?$21.74Jan 30, 19:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$95.00Jan 30, 19:06 UTC
- REDEEMAfD banned in 2025?$184.35Jan 30, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$20.00Jun 1, 21:50 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: May$0.00Jun 1, 21:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?$0.00Jun 1, 21:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?$0.00Jun 1, 21:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nicușor Dan win by more than 12%?$22.10Jun 1, 21:46 UTC
- REDEEMMacron cocaine use confirmed?$38.79Jun 1, 21:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill George Simion win by over 18%?$111.11Jun 1, 21:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $24.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 23:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 30, 22:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.