Cautious-Kilt
0xe785e7859fc65daf877ade1074b992a62b74e267
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$64.21
Total PnL
$-377.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026?
28 shares @ 53.6¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.26
$7.26
- YES
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?
70 shares @ 43.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.96
$-8.04
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
111 shares @ 18.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.56
$-9.44
- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
250 shares @ 20.0¢·now 2.6¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$6.63
$-43.37
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
19 shares @ 27.0¢·now 15.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.81
$-2.19
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
1024 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-21.99
- OPENAI
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
112 shares @ 17.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?
103 shares @ 29.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
102 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?
93 shares @ 21.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$20.42May 2, 20:38 UTC
- REDEEMChatGPT Outage by March 15?$40.09Apr 1, 22:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?$0.01Mar 14, 08:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?$0.04Mar 14, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?$5.00Mar 14, 07:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?$21.34Mar 14, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?$20.00Mar 14, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?$20.00Mar 14, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?$2.00Mar 14, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ferrari have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?$20.00Mar 14, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?$20.00Mar 14, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?$20.00Mar 14, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?$10.00Mar 8, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?$15.00Mar 8, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?$20.00Mar 8, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?$20.00Mar 7, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?$20.00Feb 28, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$20.00Feb 28, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$20.00Feb 28, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?$20.00Feb 28, 10:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $16.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 15, 22:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 2, 20:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.