Testy-Presume
0xe786d7e6349fb2a1721acacd12523cc09063f1ea
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$60.00
Total PnL
$-75.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
20 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$20.00
$2.60
- YES
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
20 shares @ 94.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$20.00
$1.06
- NO
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?
10 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.00
$3.60
- NO
Will the AFD be part of the next German government?
10 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$10.00
$0.60
- NO
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?
40 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.80
- NO
India military action against Pakistan before June?
35 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-19.25
- NO
New Pope announced by May 9?
30 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2025$0.00
$-9.60
- YES
Will Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?
30 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.10
- YES
Will Călin Georgescu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?
20 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.20
- NO
Will George Simion advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?
10 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?$6.63Jul 25, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$17.40Jul 25, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?$24.17Jul 25, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?$11.10Jul 25, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Pope announced by May 9?$9.60May 4, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndia military action against Pakistan before June?$19.25May 4, 20:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Houston win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?$0.00May 4, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Randy Fine win by less than 10%?$0.00May 4, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in his first 100 days?$0.00May 4, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?$10.00May 4, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMTrump tariff on EU alcohol before May?$20.00May 4, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$30.00May 4, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?$60.00May 4, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$69.38May 4, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMTrump imposes 40% tariff on China in first 100 days?$0.00Apr 6, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Houston win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?$6.06Mar 31, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Randy Fine win by less than 10%?$9.15Mar 31, 19:03 UTC
- TRADESELLYoon out as president of South Korea before April?$14.85Mar 31, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Randy Fine win by less than 10%?$3.15Mar 31, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Randy Fine win by less than 10%?$11.60Mar 30, 20:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $11.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 5, 18:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 18:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".