Well-Documented-Discrimination
0xe7889e994282bb732c2fc44861300fa0d2c3736b
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$3.2K
Total PnL
$-687.65
Realised
$-262.27
Win rate
28%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
604 shares @ 82.1¢·now 87.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$528.44
$32.55
- YES
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
39880 shares @ 0.9¢·now 1.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$498.50
$139.58
- YES
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
44921 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$381.83
$-48.33
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
43956 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$285.71
$109.89
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
539 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$272.00
$-8.08
- NO
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
200 shares @ 89.4¢·now 91.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$183.08
$4.20
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
784 shares @ 25.3¢·now 19.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$154.74
$-43.61
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
81708 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$122.56
$-203.37
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
142 shares @ 76.9¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$121.53
$12.16
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?
150 shares @ 85.0¢·now 64.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$96.00
$-31.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?$1.38Jul 25, 07:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?$0.76Jul 25, 07:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?$0.66Jul 25, 06:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?$0.78Jul 25, 06:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?$0.78Jul 25, 06:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?$0.68Jul 25, 06:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?$0.63Jul 25, 06:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?$0.63Jul 25, 05:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?$0.83Jul 25, 03:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?$1.58Jul 25, 03:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?$0.45Jul 25, 03:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?$1.68Jul 25, 03:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?$0.42Jul 25, 02:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 25, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?$2.14Jul 24, 21:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?$1.21Jul 24, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?$0.37Jul 24, 15:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?$0.89Jul 24, 12:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?$0.89Jul 24, 10:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?$0.98Jul 24, 07:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
37/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
28% win rate over 18 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
18 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $8.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 14:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 07:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.