Fine-Loincloth
0xe7970f70932d8ee82787a4c243c76a72f20029f1
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-48.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
West Ham United wins the Premier League?
1600 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Leicester City wins the Premier League?
1200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Hunor Kelemen win the Romanian presidential election?
1040 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.04
- YES
Will Richard Seymour win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- KRAKEN
Kraken vs. Flyers
25 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-11.50
- PIRATES
Pirates vs. Brewers
24 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2025$0.00
$-8.17
- PENGUINS
Penguins vs. Ducks
16 shares @ 43.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-7.20
- MARLINS
Marlins vs. Guardians
13 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2025$0.00
$-5.63
- BRAVES
Braves vs. Reds
11 shares @ 42.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-4.56
- ORIOLES
Red Sox vs. Orioles
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 2, 2025$0.00
$-4.81
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jun 27, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?$79.89Jun 26, 10:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?$299.61Jun 26, 10:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?$499.36Jun 26, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?$80.02Jun 26, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?$500.12Jun 26, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?$300.07Jun 26, 09:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$189.75Jun 26, 09:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$299.30Jun 26, 09:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$399.48Jun 26, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$190.05Jun 26, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$400.10Jun 26, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$300.07Jun 26, 03:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$279.62Jun 26, 03:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$279.62Jun 26, 03:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$329.57Jun 26, 03:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 26, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$280.08Jun 25, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$280.08Jun 25, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$330.08Jun 25, 17:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $255.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 7, 07:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 27, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.