Alarming-Archives
0xe798f4c73a4134aee1f7f039c249ef57187a0036
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
59
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-320.32
Realised
$21.57
Win rate
19%
59 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12AM ET
276 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
74 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1AM ET
65 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-6.42
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
43 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- OVER
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5
42 shares @ 23.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-9.93
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
38 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
33 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
30 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
24 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCanada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5$6.07Jun 12, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5$3.07Jun 12, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5$1.02Jun 12, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$3.11Jun 9, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$3.13Jun 9, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$1.05Jun 7, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$1.04Jun 7, 05:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$3.74Jun 7, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$1.05Jun 7, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$1.05May 29, 20:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6AM ET$0.35May 29, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6AM ET$1.04May 29, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$1.04May 29, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$1.03May 29, 04:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$1.49May 29, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$1.05May 29, 04:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$2.93May 29, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$1.05May 29, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$1.04May 29, 04:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$0.22May 28, 06:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
64/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
19% win rate over 59 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 27/100.
59 closed markets, 19% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $5.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 05:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 20:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 59 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.