0xe79fd2ae2786495075ee34ed067d42f546a0cefc
0xe79fd2ae2786495075ee34ed067d42f546a0cefc
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-194.56
Realised
$8.78
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Will Trump say "Debate" in March?
1442 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.30
- NO
Will Trump say "Et cetera" or "Etc." this week? (March 15)
1252 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-27.90
- CUBA
First Round Pool A: Cuba vs. Canada
511 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.57
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
234 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-18.53
- UP
Solana Up or Down - March 16, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
106 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-6.36
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - March 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
61 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.23
- ALEX MICHELSEN
BNP Paribas Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Alex Michelsen
57 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.09
- UP
XRP Up or Down - March 16, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
40 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - March 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
32 shares @ 25.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-8.10
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 16, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
31 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-16.48
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - March 16, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$5.97Mar 16, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$12.77Mar 16, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 16, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$14.78Mar 16, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 16, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$5.32Mar 16, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 16, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$1.05Mar 16, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$2.59Mar 16, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$2.92Mar 16, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$2.42Mar 16, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$6.11Mar 16, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 16, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$7.03Mar 16, 21:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$4.34Mar 16, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$3.51Mar 16, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$2.26Mar 16, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$0.57Mar 16, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$1.85Mar 16, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$0.02Mar 16, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$0.40Mar 16, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$0.20Mar 16, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$0.02Mar 16, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$0.20Mar 16, 20:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 16:45 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 22:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.