Embarrassed-Parchment
0xe7c27401135a07ee448db27fa528282ad8ccbe3e
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$64.61
Total PnL
$-6.54
Realised
$79.77
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
36 shares @ 16.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$32.72
$27.01
- YES
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
28 shares @ 29.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$7.86
$-0.14
- YES
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
25 shares @ 15.8¢·now 22.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.57
$1.57
- YES
Will the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.96
$-1.04
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?
1894 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$3.79
$-20.16
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
73 shares @ 31.5¢·now 3.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$2.55
$-20.45
- YES
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?
15 shares @ 13.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
167 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.92
$-1.08
- YES
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 28.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.45
$-1.45
- YES
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 1.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.39
$0.39
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?$2.98May 17, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027?$5.22May 17, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?$2.09May 17, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?$8.28May 17, 20:28 UTC
- TRADESELLGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$29.81May 17, 18:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?$7.69May 17, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$60.86May 16, 00:03 UTC
- TRADESELLGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$32.21May 14, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$8.27May 14, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$6.16May 14, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?$11.44May 14, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$3.08May 11, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$14.49May 9, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$3.10May 4, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$8.21May 1, 21:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.04Apr 28, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.04Apr 28, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?$5.20Apr 28, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?$8.50Apr 25, 12:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $9.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 4, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 20:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".