Authorized-Approval
0xe7c327eff696dad94a6e9310ee79af9a185420e0
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$881.46
Total PnL
$-8.6K
Realised
$-0.37
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 24?
125 shares @ 57.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$124.25
$53.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on June 24?
108 shares @ 59.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$106.81
$43.09
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 24?
101 shares @ 57.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$100.95
$43.25
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 24?
92 shares @ 70.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$91.72
$27.32
- NO
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?
94 shares @ 80.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$74.53
$-0.47
- NO
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?
97 shares @ 71.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$68.51
$-0.49
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 25?
94 shares @ 64.9¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$66.27
$5.29
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 25?
130 shares @ 46.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$61.75
$1.95
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on June 25?
94 shares @ 64.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$58.75
$-1.41
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 25?
99 shares @ 51.8¢·now 51.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$50.49
$-0.81
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 25?$0.11Jun 24, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 25?$1.42Jun 24, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 25?$4.00Jun 24, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 24?$100.00Jun 24, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 25?$3.00Jun 24, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 25?$1.50Jun 24, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 25?$3.35Jun 24, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 25?$7.56Jun 24, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-06-26?$75.45Jun 24, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?$69.60Jun 24, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 25?$4.69Jun 24, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 25?$3.83Jun 24, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 25?$2.76Jun 24, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 25?$19.65Jun 24, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 25?$51.59Jun 24, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 25?$52.53Jun 24, 20:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$10.58Jun 24, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$5.02Jun 24, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$5.02Jun 24, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 25?$61.41Jun 24, 19:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $33.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 22:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 22:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.