Authorized-Approval
0xe7c327eff696dad94a6e9310ee79af9a185420e0
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-9.8K
Realised
$-23.72
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 85°F or below on May 20?
6600 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-76.68
- YES
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 0 Morocco?
6517 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-39.09
- YES
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 1 Morocco?
5897 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-73.27
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 56°F or higher on May 25?
5658 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.66
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 52°F or higher on May 21?
4787 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-54.30
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 72°F or higher on May 25?
3722 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-41.76
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 67°F or below on May 22?
3555 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.56
- OVER
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 6.5
3247 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-90.92
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 61°F or below on May 22?
2733 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.73
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 77°F or below on May 22?
2630 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-51.50
Recent activity
- REWARD$3.20Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?$24.17Jul 14, 21:21 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: France (-1.5)$11.87Jul 14, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?$23.34Jul 14, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: France 2 - 0 Spain?$10.71Jul 14, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. Spain: O/U 1.5$0.00Jul 14, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: France (-1.5)$9.99Jul 14, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: O/U 1.5$9.99Jul 14, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 2.5$2.22Jul 14, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 2 - 0 Spain?$9.99Jul 13, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?$4.68Jul 12, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?$7.18Jul 12, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?$9.99Jul 12, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?$10.00Jul 12, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?$9.99Jul 12, 21:40 UTC
- REDEEMNorway vs. England: Norway O/U 1.5$0.21Jul 12, 21:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$0.15Jul 12, 00:01 UTC
- REDEEMNorway vs. England: Norway O/U 2.5$0.00Jul 12, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: England (-1.5)$0.00Jul 12, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMNorway vs. England: O/U 3.5$0.55Jul 12, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $3.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 22:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.