Quarterly-Affect
0xe7c3b541aa459f5a89457d07bfa690142da84cba
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$219.00
Total PnL
$0.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June?$142.86Jun 24, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $0.20 in June?$75.86Jun 3, 02:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by May 31, 2026?$34.00Jun 3, 02:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in May?$91.00Jun 3, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by May 31, 2026?$33.90May 29, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in May?$90.91May 19, 14:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?$45.00May 14, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?$44.96May 4, 16:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$49.10May 4, 16:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?$58.99May 4, 16:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?$111.50May 4, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?$111.39Apr 26, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?$58.65Apr 16, 15:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?$60.30Apr 6, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$49.00Apr 6, 10:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?$59.59Apr 2, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?$60.06Apr 1, 10:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$93.60Apr 1, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?$59.48Apr 1, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$93.51Mar 25, 07:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $72.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 11, 08:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 06:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.