Mortified-Horseradish
0xe7c9dcaffc1d35603cdd1afe1d4d2640a6147576
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
66
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-250.60
Realised
$-4.25
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 66- ALMEIDA
Volkov vs. Almeida
879 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-8.79
- YES
Will the government shutdown end November 18?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
231 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will the government shutdown end November 15?
160 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
126 shares @ 24.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-30.41
- YES
Will the government shutdown end November 17?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the government shutdown end November 16?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
117 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will Islam Makhachev win by KO or TKO?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the government shutdown end November 14?
91 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (December 1 - 7)$2.85Dec 1, 21:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Cartel" this week (November 24–30)?$0.00Dec 1, 21:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Cartel" this week (November 24–30)?$2.86Dec 1, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Youtube" or "Youtuber" 10+ times at the NYT DealBook Summit?$1.78Nov 26, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Farmer" at the Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?$1.00Nov 25, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Affordability" or "Affordable" at the Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?$1.00Nov 25, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Cartel" this week (November 24–30)?$1.00Nov 23, 13:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Laughingstock" this week? (November 17 – 23)$4.78Nov 23, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Laughingstock" this week? (November 17 – 23)$3.94Nov 22, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Pardon" this week (November 24–30)?$1.00Nov 22, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on November 22?$2.00Nov 21, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Transgender" this week? (November 17 – 23)$1.00Nov 19, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" in November?$1.00Nov 19, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA say "H20" during earnings call?$1.00Nov 19, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA say "Omniverse" during earnings call?$1.00Nov 19, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on November 21?$2.00Nov 19, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?$1.00Nov 19, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hottest" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?$1.00Nov 19, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?$1.00Nov 19, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohammed bin Salman wear a suit and tie by Thursday?$1.00Nov 19, 14:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $5.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 13, 11:47 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 1, 21:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".