Serene-Macrofauna-Towtruck
0xe7d84f406dc22686205057899b6ccb512445a8ce
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$5.29
Total PnL
$-44.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 100 mph?
20 shares @ 54.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.50
$-8.30
- YES
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 110 mph?
20 shares @ 51.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.90
$-8.30
- YES
Will JackeyLove Win MSI Finals MVP
20 shares @ 17.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.89
$-2.51
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 24?
50 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-14.50
- NO
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $69 on June 26?
20 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 27?
5 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.15
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on June 28?$22.07Jun 28, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on June 28?$8.77Jun 28, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on June 28?$15.30Jun 28, 20:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 29?$12.60Jun 28, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 29?$12.60Jun 28, 19:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the announcers say "What a Save" during the South Africa vs Canada FIFA World Cup Match?$10.08Jun 28, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "What a Save" during the South Africa vs Canada FIFA World Cup Match?$10.80Jun 28, 19:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 29?$12.37Jun 28, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 29?$12.60Jun 28, 19:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on June 30?$16.28Jun 28, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on June 30?$16.60Jun 28, 19:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the announcers say "Transition" during the South Africa vs Canada FIFA World Cup Match?$2.82Jun 28, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Transition" during the South Africa vs Canada FIFA World Cup Match?$2.88Jun 28, 18:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nito Abreu win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?$9.68Jun 28, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nito Abreu win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?$10.50Jun 28, 17:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 29?$2.59Jun 28, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 29?$0.95Jun 28, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 29?$1.90Jun 28, 17:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C or higher on June 30?$1.72Jun 28, 16:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 30?$2.68Jun 28, 16:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $8.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 28, 12:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 28, 20:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.