Tremendous-Conversation
0xe7d9a2dca0ae4cdf3d479baa5e9ccc478635072d
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
60
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-649.27
Realised
$-127.37
Win rate
0%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 4?
280 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-5.88
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $130 on December 8?
279 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-4.46
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 5?
279 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-5.59
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 7?
276 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-2.32
- YES
Will XRP dip to $1.80 in November?
275 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-4.40
- YES
Will Solana dip to $120 in November?
275 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-5.49
- UP
XRP Up or Down on December 1?
273 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.18
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on December 3?
273 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-3.27
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on December 2?
270 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.08
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on November 28?
268 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-3.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on July 23?$3.19Jul 22, 18:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on July 16?$71.84Jul 16, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on July 16?$69.61Jul 15, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 4?$1.95Jul 3, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on June 4?$1.61Jun 3, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chainlink dip to $8 in May?$2.71May 31, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 30?$0.16May 29, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 30?$0.20May 29, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 30?$0.14May 29, 18:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 19?$95.45May 19, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 19?$0.21May 19, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 19?$93.24May 18, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 18?$2.17May 18, 00:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 8?$81.48May 8, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 8?$79.28May 7, 23:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of April 13 2026?$95.77Apr 30, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on April 22?$3.49Apr 21, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of April 13 2026?$92.51Apr 17, 03:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $90 on April 15?$95.33Apr 17, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on April 15?$93.23Apr 15, 00:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $26.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 02:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 18:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.