Amused-Mileage
0xe7da38541afa94e1f9c1e4495f90f6de2ca03a1e
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
124
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-893.51
Realised
$29.53
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 124- YES
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
57000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-57.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?
660 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-46.22
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
69 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
60 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?$48.37Jul 14, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. France: Norway O/U 1.5 AND Norway vs. France: O/U 5.5$19.99Jun 26, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$10.50Jun 26, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$10.50Jun 26, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$10.61Jun 26, 10:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$1.88Jun 26, 10:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$9.66Jun 26, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$10.27Jun 26, 10:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 21, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 17, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 16, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$58.71Jun 12, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYParis Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Draw at halftime?$5.11May 30, 16:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
80% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $6.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 08:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 19:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.