Agonizing-Refuge
0xe7eb5946cd31b8b0a03da9828c64c9dc571ce768
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$37.86
Total PnL
$-94.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will "Conclave" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?
38 shares @ 76.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$37.86
$8.86
- YES
Will "Nickel Boys" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?
2000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will "The Substance" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?
1013 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Yura Borisov win Best Supporting Actor at the 2025 Oscars?
511 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-22.00
- YES
Will Coralie Fargeat win Best Director at the 2025 Oscars for "The Substance"?
234 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will "The Brutalist" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?
231 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will "The Brutalist" win Best Original Screenplay at the 2025 Oscars?
172 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will "The Brutalist" win Best Film Editing at the 2025 Oscars?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will "The Seed of the Sacred Fig" win Best International Feature Film at the 2025 Oscars?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ralph Fiennes win Best Actor at the 2025 Oscars?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Nosferatu" win Best Cinematography at the 2025 Oscars?$5.70Mar 2, 23:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Wicked" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$4.95Mar 2, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yura Borisov win Best Supporting Actor at the 2025 Oscars?$22.00Mar 2, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Nosferatu" win Best Cinematography at the 2025 Oscars?$2.30Mar 2, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Wicked" win Best Sound at the 2025 Oscars?$1.30Mar 2, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Seed of the Sacred Fig" win Best International Feature Film at the 2025 Oscars?$1.00Mar 2, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ralph Fiennes win Best Actor at the 2025 Oscars?$1.00Mar 2, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Conclave" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$29.00Mar 2, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Brutalist" win Best Original Screenplay at the 2025 Oscars?$5.00Mar 2, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Brutalist" win Best Film Editing at the 2025 Oscars?$5.00Mar 2, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coralie Fargeat win Best Director at the 2025 Oscars for "The Substance"?$5.00Mar 2, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Brutalist" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$30.00Mar 2, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Substance" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$15.00Mar 2, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Wicked" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$5.00Mar 2, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Nickel Boys" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$10.00Mar 2, 21:53 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin above $0.40 on November 29?$121.23Nov 30, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin above $0.40 on November 29?$96.00Nov 23, 04:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $14.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 23, 04:08 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 2, 23:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".