Periodic-Firewall
0xe7eef841fd68bf029f0ff85aabd5a1ed1fb7a2e3
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$58.00
Total PnL
$-49.77
Realised
$-1.60
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Atlanta Hawks make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
40 shares @ 61.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$20.40
$-4.00
- NO
Will Axis launch a token by June 30, 2027?
20 shares @ 60.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$10.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?
40 shares @ 37.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$6.60
$-8.20
- NO
Will Daniil Medvedev Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings
40 shares @ 32.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.80
$-7.00
- YES
Will Tommy Paul Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings
40 shares @ 30.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.00
$-7.00
- NO
Will Alex de Minaur Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings
20 shares @ 32.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.80
$-1.60
- YES
Will Netflix Game Controller be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?
38 shares @ 61.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.72
$-18.31
- NO
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 47m and 52m?
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$0.68
$-0.06
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 47m and 52m?$24.51Jul 30, 00:47 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.33Jul 30, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tregenza Roach be the Democratic nominee for Governor of the US Virgin Islands?$7.41Jul 30, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tregenza Roach be the Democratic nominee for Governor of the US Virgin Islands?$7.60Jul 30, 00:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title?$22.81Jul 30, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title?$11.80Jul 30, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title?$11.80Jul 30, 00:23 UTC
- REWARD$41.99Jul 30, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLIran full airspace closure by August 31?$12.00Jul 29, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by August 31?$12.20Jul 29, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?$7.40Jul 29, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?$7.40Jul 29, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Atlanta Hawks make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?$12.20Jul 29, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Atlanta Hawks make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?$12.20Jul 29, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Daniil Medvedev Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings$6.40Jul 29, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Daniil Medvedev Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings$6.40Jul 29, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex de Minaur Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings$6.40Jul 29, 20:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jakub Mensik Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings$12.76Jul 29, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jakub Mensik Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings$7.00Jul 29, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jakub Mensik Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings$7.00Jul 29, 20:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
3/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $9.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 13:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 00:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.