Complex-Pneumonia
0xe7fccdd4ec09e5f6204cf91e542877b23d591c16
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$0.52
Realised
$0.51
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C or below on July 30?
240 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$238.56
$-0.48
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on July 30?
202 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$201.29
$0.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C or below on July 29?
200 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$199.20
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C on July 30?
180 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$179.64
$0.36
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C on July 30?
100 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$100.10
$0.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C or below on July 29?
94 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$94.13
$0.19
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on July 29?
49 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$49.35
$0.15
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 28°C on July 30?
36 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$36.09
$0.07
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on July 29?
11 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$10.80
$0.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on July 29?
7 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$7.06
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on July 29?$5.00Jul 28, 20:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C or higher on July 29?$12.97Jul 28, 20:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on July 29?$5.00Jul 28, 19:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on July 29?$9.99Jul 28, 19:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on July 29?$8.99Jul 28, 19:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on July 29?$10.99Jul 28, 19:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on July 29?$5.99Jul 28, 19:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on July 29?$56.86Jul 28, 19:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 28°C on July 30?$7.29Jul 28, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 28°C on July 30?$0.50Jul 28, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 28°C on July 30?$6.49Jul 28, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 28°C on July 30?$29.44Jul 28, 18:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on July 28?$3.01Jul 28, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on July 29?$10.78Jul 28, 17:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on July 28?$13.52Jul 28, 16:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on July 28?$1.24Jul 28, 16:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on July 28?$4.99Jul 28, 16:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on July 28?$100.00Jul 28, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on July 28?$19.92Jul 28, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on July 28?$19.92Jul 28, 16:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $22.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 14:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 20:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.