Ugly-Runner
0xe814596c8dc7ab3b5d9dd7113431c2051e789ef5
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-136.46
Realised
$26.88
Win rate
45%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10AM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 1PM ET
113 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 8AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 5AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 3?
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 25–August 1?
66 shares @ 33.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-22.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 6AM ET
65 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 120–134 times July 25–August 1?
63 shares @ 27.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-17.50
- YES
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 11–18?
57 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.04
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
51 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$5.16Jan 6, 17:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$2.61Jan 6, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$2.00Jan 6, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$5.00Jan 6, 17:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$9.10Jan 6, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$6.00Jan 6, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$1.95Jan 6, 17:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$3.09Jan 6, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$5.00Jan 6, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 6?$1.00Jan 6, 16:46 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 6, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$6.58Jan 6, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$3.00Jan 6, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 6, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$5.00Jan 6, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$5.00Jan 6, 11:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$8.62Jan 6, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$5.00Jan 6, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$14.11Jan 5, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$13.97Jan 5, 12:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$5.75Jan 5, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$5.00Jan 5, 11:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $5.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 4, 21:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 6, 17:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".