Wallet digest

active

Activity score

30/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-3.3K

Realised

$-682.87

Win rate

4 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 15

UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
1657 shares @ 77.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026
$0.00
$-1.3K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
1605 shares @ 27.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026
$0.00
$-445.78
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
700 shares @ 14.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026
$0.00
$-99.11
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
503 shares @ 39.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026
$0.00
$-197.18
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
423 shares @ 58.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026
$0.00
$-246.41
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
370 shares @ 39.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026
$0.00
$-147.85
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
334 shares @ 41.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026
$0.00
$-137.94
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
136 shares @ 14.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026
$0.00
$-19.92
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
109 shares @ 18.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026
$0.00
$-19.89
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
100 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026
$0.00
$-8.87

Recent activity

TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$4.52Feb 15, 18:57 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$8.88Feb 15, 18:55 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$7.88Feb 15, 18:53 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$14.00Feb 15, 18:51 UTC
TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17?$15.05Feb 15, 18:51 UTC
TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17?$15.05Feb 15, 16:00 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$5.43Feb 15, 15:58 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$50.00Feb 15, 15:56 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$3.00Feb 15, 15:54 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$50.00Feb 15, 15:53 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$73.18Feb 15, 15:53 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$200.00Feb 15, 15:50 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$30.00Feb 15, 15:50 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$20.00Feb 15, 15:50 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$293.15Feb 15, 15:49 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$221.00Feb 15, 15:45 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$10.00Feb 15, 15:44 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$17.16Feb 15, 15:39 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$20.00Feb 15, 15:38 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$30.00Feb 15, 15:38 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity42 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence13 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry33 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk55 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 49
Avg trade size: $75.68
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Feb 15, 00:10 UTC
Last active: Feb 15, 18:57 UTC
Win rate sample: 4 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 16:38:21 UTC·src:Polymarket Data