Expert-Dot
0xe82e1d247eb37f68f237c94b0e4eb92486417ea4
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
80
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-622.24
Realised
$-204.49
Win rate
0%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 80- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3,200 on November 28?
274 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-2.27
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on November 13?
271 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-3.30
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 1?
271 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-4.06
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on November 19?
270 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.62
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $2.30 and $2.40 on December 5?
268 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.61
- YES
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 18-24?
266 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.13
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 15?
264 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.85
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on November 23?
263 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.58
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on November 19?
263 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-3.15
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 20?
261 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-3.65
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 25?$91.24Jul 25, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 25?$0.43Jul 24, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 25?$88.53Jul 24, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on July 12?$1.94Jul 11, 22:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 7?$110.44Jul 7, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 7?$108.23Jul 6, 20:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 4?$112.07Jun 4, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 4?$105.79Jun 4, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 23?$104.49May 23, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 23?$102.71May 23, 03:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jadoodoo win the Legend Trade Series?$24.87May 13, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 8?$2.64May 7, 17:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 12?$82.44May 7, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 8?$0.00Apr 25, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jadoodoo win the Legend Trade Series?$21.89Apr 15, 06:22 UTC
- REDEEMNorth Florida Ospreys vs. Tennessee Volunteers$0.00Apr 14, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 12?$0.09Apr 12, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 12?$80.95Apr 12, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on April 6?$1.02Apr 6, 04:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on March 30?$94.72Apr 6, 04:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $36.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 16:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 16:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.