Peppery-Barrier
0xe8313e69c3ff0550b8c9ede5b37ea9717088a65d
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-20.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.60
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
67 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
30 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.51
- YES
Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-03-21?
16 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- NO
Will Henan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC end in a draw?
2 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- NO
Will Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC end in a draw?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- UNDER
Saudi Arabia vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- UNDER
Deportivo Pereira vs. Cúcuta Deportivo FC: O/U 3.5
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- KANSAS JAYHAWKS
Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-13.5)
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on March 30?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.71Jun 11, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.60Jun 11, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.09Jun 11, 16:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for April 2 be between 2,800,000 and 3,000,000?$1.11May 20, 09:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?$1.12May 20, 09:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ruth Alina Peralta win the 2026 Cochabamba gubernatorial election?$1.13May 20, 09:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?$1.16May 20, 09:36 UTC
- REDEEMRussia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?$1.55May 20, 09:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Democrat" during the Easter Lunch on Wednesday?$1.12Apr 2, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for April 2 be between 2,800,000 and 3,000,000?$1.10Apr 2, 09:15 UTC
- REDEEMNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?$1.13Apr 1, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Democrat" during the Easter Lunch on Wednesday?$1.10Apr 1, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill SOFR hit 3.72% (High) between March 1 and March 31?$1.11Apr 1, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SOFR hit 3.72% (High) between March 1 and March 31?$1.10Mar 31, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Saudi Arabia vs. Serbia end in a draw?$1.39Mar 31, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?$1.10Mar 31, 13:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on March 30?$1.10Mar 31, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?$1.10Mar 31, 09:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on March 30?$1.11Mar 31, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?$1.10Mar 31, 01:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 29, 05:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 16:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.