Trained-Outback
0xe833705aec9a549b932ec22c2b825879d1057c88
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$1.56
Total PnL
$-5.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Bayrou out as French PM in 2025?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.56
$0.56
- YES
Will Bertie Ahern win the Irish Presidential Election?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Trump cabinet member out before July?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Mairead McGuinness win the Irish Presidential Election?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US recession in 2025?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2025?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?$1.27Jun 4, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$0.00Jun 2, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: May$1.35Jun 1, 08:01 UTC
- REDEEMElon out of Trump administration in 2025?$0.00May 29, 08:29 UTC
- REDEEMElon out of Trump administration in 2025?$1.52May 29, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMElon out of Trump administration before July?$3.23May 29, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Luís Montenegro be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?$1.25May 20, 11:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?$1.37May 19, 13:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?$2.50May 19, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Pope be from Europe?$0.00May 9, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession in 2025?$1.00May 5, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: May$1.00May 5, 06:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?$1.19May 5, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Labor Party win by 10–19 seats?$0.00May 4, 20:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Labour win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?$1.20May 4, 06:03 UTC
- TRADESELLPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?$0.27May 2, 21:20 UTC
- REDEEMLiberals win majority in Canadian election?$0.00May 1, 18:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New Democratic Party win the third most seats in the next Canadian Election?$0.00May 1, 18:08 UTC
- REDEEMMike Waltz out of Trump administration before May?$0.00May 1, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBayrou out as French PM in 2025?$1.00Apr 29, 10:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $1.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 5, 11:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 08:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.