Worried-Kindness
0xe834485d08143610141d06322caffb8694967cdd
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-72.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?
294 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?
162 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- TRAIL BLAZERS
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers
129 shares @ 20.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2025$0.00
$-27.00
- YES
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?
95 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?
31 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Israel withdraw from Philadelphi corridor by March 8?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- TOTTENHAM
Carabao Cup Semifinal: Tottenham vs. Liverpool (To Advance)
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Powell say "Trump" during January press conference?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?$5.22Jul 19, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?$6.29Jul 19, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?$5.21Jul 19, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$10.26Jul 12, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-07-05?$5.15Jul 6, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico vs. England end in a draw?$20.47Jul 6, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$5.14Jul 2, 07:20 UTC
- TRADESELLGermany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score$4.69Jun 20, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score$5.11Jun 20, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?$1.01Jun 15, 21:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Hanukkah" while addressing the nation on December 17?$21.28Dec 18, 09:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US officially declare war on Venezuela in 2025?$2.85Dec 18, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hanukkah" while addressing the nation on December 17?$10.00Dec 18, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Venezuela in 2025?$10.00Dec 18, 00:40 UTC
- TRADESELLTikTok on App Store again before February?$0.06Jan 26, 23:22 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael withdraws from Lebanon before February?$0.13Jan 26, 23:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ross Ulbricht sell Bitcoin before February?$0.45Jan 26, 23:20 UTC
- TRADESELLObama divorce in 2025?$0.89Jan 26, 23:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$0.93Jan 26, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Trail Blazers$27.00Jan 26, 23:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $4.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 23, 02:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 18:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.