Bad-Leeway
0xe83bf8065ba077c389b190739ce7ad5ddf0015e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-21.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 21, 2026?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Sweden win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Obliteration" or "Obliterated" during the Board of Peace Charter Announcement?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Peace" 20+ times during the Board of Peace Charter Announcement?
32 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 22?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- NO
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?
17 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Trump" during the Board of Peace Charter Announcement?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
8 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
6 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$2.00Feb 7, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1.00Feb 6, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMSHL: Malmoe vs. Roegle$11.57Feb 6, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSHL: Malmoe vs. Roegle$6.13Feb 3, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$2.00Feb 3, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYMoltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?$5.00Feb 2, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?$1.00Jan 23, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 22?$1.02Jan 22, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?$1.00Jan 22, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Peace" 20+ times during the Board of Peace Charter Announcement?$1.00Jan 22, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Trump" during the Board of Peace Charter Announcement?$1.00Jan 22, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Obliteration" or "Obliterated" during the Board of Peace Charter Announcement?$1.00Jan 22, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Globalist" or "Global" during WEF Address on January 21?$1.00Jan 21, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Denmark" or "Norway" during WEF Address on January 21?$1.00Jan 21, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Expert" or "Genius" during WEF Address on January 21?$1.00Jan 21, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 21, 2026?$2.00Jan 21, 07:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$24.15Jan 20, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$8.47Jan 20, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$5.00Jan 20, 12:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in January 2026?$13.47Jan 20, 10:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $4.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 19, 09:10 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 7, 20:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".