Qualified-Clover
0xe83d805123f7d115ff861052bdfba449c5ae3324
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
62
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-24.3K
Realised
$-337.30
Win rate
0%
55 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-89.99
- NO
Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?
9838 shares @ 58.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.8K
- T1
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
3600 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?
3000 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-480.00
- YES
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?
2100 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-231.00
- YES
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?
2000 shares @ 44.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-884.00
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2000 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-46.00
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1800 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-102.60
- ENGLAND
Spread: England (-1.5)
1500 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-945.00
Recent activity
- REWARD$4.86Aug 7, 20:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?$5.88Jul 27, 11:22 UTC
- TRADESELLRevolut IPO before 2027?$519.89Jul 27, 11:22 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.03Jul 25, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$2.49Jul 25, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?$391.18Jul 24, 16:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?$9.02Jul 24, 10:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?$9.02Jul 24, 10:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?$9.02Jul 24, 10:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?$10.66Jul 24, 10:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?$11.48Jul 24, 09:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?$9.02Jul 24, 09:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?$9.84Jul 24, 09:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?$13.94Jul 24, 09:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?$9.02Jul 24, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?$13.12Jul 24, 09:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?$9.02Jul 24, 08:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?$9.02Jul 24, 08:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?$9.84Jul 24, 07:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?$9.84Jul 24, 06:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 55 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
55 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $64.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 10:47 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 7, 20:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 55 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.