Parched-Linseed
0xe84200c2035f9742f4d23c0d6b9e1db4b7daf759
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.75
Total PnL
$-626.87
Realised
$-2.62
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?
28 shares @ 49.5¢·now 1.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.31
$-13.69
- YES
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.18
$-0.82
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.17
$-0.83
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?
26 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.09
$-0.91
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
165 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
148 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
128 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
119 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 12PM ET
116 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - July 15, 6AM ET
114 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$14.28Jul 23, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 31, 2026?$1.00Jul 23, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$1.00Jul 23, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 24?$1.00Jul 23, 17:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?$17.38Jul 23, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?$1.00Jul 23, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$2.07Jul 23, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?$5.15Jul 23, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?$10.31Jul 23, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$8.33Jul 22, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$2.11Jul 22, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$1.07Jul 22, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$1.05Jul 22, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$1.05Jul 22, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$1.04Jul 16, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$2.12Jul 16, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$2.11Jul 16, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$2.11Jul 16, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$2.11Jul 16, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$1.03Jul 16, 17:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $3.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 16:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 17:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.